BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


-----------------------------------------------


East Carolina

Class: 1A Class Rank: 120 Conference: American Athletic Conference Record: (1-7) Overall: (3-9) Overall Strength =  136.90

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2018 Home    L   127.24  23  28   1B  34 ( 10-  2) North Carolina A&T     -9.65      4.65                      
  2 09/08/2018 Home    W   166.93  41  19   1A  92 (  2-  9) North Carolina         30.04     -8.04                      
  3 09/22/2018 Away    L * 142.15  13  20   1A  94 (  7-  5) South Florida           5.26    -12.26                      
  4 09/29/2018 Home    W   136.10  37  35   1A 121 (  4-  8) Old Dominion           -0.79      2.79                      
  5 10/06/2018 Away    L * 120.72   6  49   1A  49 (  8-  4) Temple                -16.17    -26.83                      
  6 10/13/2018 Home    L * 133.18  20  42   1A  60 (  8-  4) Houston                -3.72    -18.28                      
  7 10/20/2018 Home    L * 140.86  10  37   1A  18 ( 12-  0) Central Florida         3.96    -30.96                      
  8 11/03/2018 Home    L * 139.38  41  59   1A  59 (  8-  5) Memphis                 2.48    -20.48                      
  9 11/10/2018 Away    L * 147.84  18  24   1A  87 (  7-  6) Tulane                 10.94    -16.94                      
 10 11/17/2018 Home    W * 156.79  55  21   1A 128 (  1- 11) Connecticut            19.90     14.10                      
 11 11/23/2018 Away    L * 118.29   6  56   1A  33 ( 10-  2) Cincinnati            -18.60    -31.40                      
 12 12/01/2018 Away    L   113.25   3  58   1A  32 (  9-  3) North Carolina St     -23.65    -31.35                      
      Averages             136.90  22.8 37.3

Best game:  166.93 = 22 point win over North Carolina
Worst game: 113.25 = 55 point loss to North Carolina St
Team stdev:  15.79